By Rick Edmonds
The main event at the private executives' meeting a week ago in Chicago was discussion of paid online content, and the American Press Institute contributed a white paper
strongly endorsing several versions of that strategy. API also offered
a second recommendation and a second white paper, arguing that the
industry should mobilize "to prevent further revenue erosion" of
classifieds.
The target of the effort would be
Craigslist, whose mostly free listings have contributed to the
disastrous dive of what used to be the industry's most lucrative
revenue source. The white paper suggests that with "a powerful unified
national brand" on a common platform, newspapers could take back some
of that business.
The paper concedes that
Craigslist has become a prominent brand "with a huge mass of users" and
that "it will be difficult to draw traffic away." But it suggests that
Craigslist may be vulnerable because of its "cumbersome and very basic"
user interfaces and its recent widely
publicized "front-for-prostitution" reputation. The paper quotes one
publisher describing Craigslist as "a flea market on the bad side of
town."
In addition, the paper argues,
Craigslist and other freestanding services reach only limited segments
of the market, offer only basic fraud screening and provide
"unsatisfactory response rates, especially in recruitment (high in
volume but low in relevance or quality)."
The
report acknowledges that newspaper classifieds need lots of improvement
to stay viable. Specifically, the white paper faults newspapers for
classifed products that "are generally nice-looking but overly
complicated to use," rates "too complex for most users to understand"
and ads that "are often full of obscure abbreviations, making important
information hard to decode and search."
API
argues that a strong competitor should be branded nationally, should
scrape or syndicate classifieds from other local sites, should offer
multi-market listings and should be built for future enhancements as
display and search technology develops. Basic ads would be free and
could be placed self-serve; enhancements and premium services would
provide the revenues.
Elaine Clisham, director
of targeted solutions at API, has worked on the project and told me in
a phone interview that getting close to an ideal shared platform will
have to take some coordination that is entirely missing now as
individual papers follow their own strategies on divergent systems.
"That's the hurdle, but it's also the opportunity," she said.
"That's the hurdle, but it's also the opportunity," she said.
The industry has a mixed record, at best, on such ventures. A decade ago, the New Century Network, aimed
at unified pursuit of online advertising, collapsed before it got fully
launched. More recently, however, three of the largest newspaper
companies put together CareerBuilder --
a successful competitor to Monster in the jobs field. Hundreds of
papers are hoping to boost online display sales now as the so-called
Yahoo Partnership and its APT platform roll out.
It
could help too, Clisham said, that there is no need to build from
scratch. Multiple start-up vendors hope to win newspaper business with
the next wave of online classified systems. The report mentions, among
others, Kaango.com and ReminderNews.com.
The
white paper itself, however, notes a long list of "issues and
challenges." Some of them -- governance, funding, print-centric culture
and ceding some control of rates and profits -- are high on the roster
of what sunk the New Century Network.
This API
project has a steering committee that includes independent (and
independent-minded) publishers Walter E. Hussman, Jr. of the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette and Brian Tierney of Philadelphia Newspapers. The appeal of the concept to bigger chains is untested.
I'm dubious
about unifying a large segment of the industry around an expensive plan
with uncertain revenue prospects. On the other hand, if first quarter
trends continue, newspaper classifieds will shrink this year to around
$6 billion in print and another $1.5 billion online. A recovery could
bring back some business next year, but the remaining base is a
fraction of its peak of $19.6 billion in 2000.
Newspapers,
despite the beating they have taken, are not without strengths in this
competition. Craisgslist is probably not a place many employers want
to advertise a professional-level job. And there is nothing to prevent
advertising a car -- or anything else -- both on Craigslist and in the
newspaper. As the report observes, classifieds "may not be the
juggernaut it once was, but it does need to become one of the revenue
streams for the newspaper."
So stabilizing the
category remains a worthwhile goal, and if the sweeping API proposal
isn't the answer, I'm left wondering what is.
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